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Daily El Niño update

El Niño update, October 13: what to know

California: Freeze Warning in effect as of 1:18 PM, Oct 13 Pacific, for parts of Owens Valley North. NOAA's Climate Prediction Center ENSO status: El Niño Advisory.

NOAA’s current status

El Niño Advisory

ONI +2.2 °C (JAS 2026) · next CPC update November 12, 2026 · CPC discussion (opens in a new tab)

What CPC, ONI, NWS and D0–D4 mean
CPC
NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, which sets the El Niño and La Niña status (Watch, Advisory) once a month.
ONI
The Oceanic Niño Index: how much warmer (+) or cooler (−) than normal the surface of the central Pacific Ocean was over three months. The letters are the months, so JJA is June, July and August. El Niño conditions are +0.5 °C or warmer.
NWS
The National Weather Service, which issues the weather watches, warnings and advisories for your area.
D0–D4
The U.S. Drought Monitor’s levels: D0 abnormally dry, D1 moderate drought, D2 severe, D3 extreme and D4 exceptional drought. Each percentage is the share of the state at that level or worse.

Region by region

California and the Sierra

5 active alerts

What’s happening

What to watch for

Active NWS alerts: Coastal Flood Advisory: 2 (CA) · Fire Weather Watch: 1 (CA) · Freeze Warning: 1 (CA) · Frost Advisory: 1 (CA)

Southern California

19 active alerts

What’s happening

  • Active NWS alert: Fire Weather Watch, in effect until 10:00 PM PDT (NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard CA), for parts of Western Santa Monica Mountains Recreational Area, Eastern Santa Monica Mountains Recreational Area and Santa Susana Mountains. Source: NWS active alerts — CA (opens in a new tab)
  • Active NWS alert: High Wind Watch, in effect until 8:00 PM PDT (NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard CA), for parts of Western Santa Monica Mountains Recreational Area, Santa Susana Mountains and Interstate 5 Corridor. Source: NWS active alerts — CA (opens in a new tab)
  • Active NWS alert: High Wind Watch, in effect until 12:00 AM PDT (NWS San Diego CA), for parts of San Diego County Inland Valleys and San Diego County Mountains. Source: NWS active alerts — CA (opens in a new tab)

What to watch for

No items for this region in this post.

Active NWS alerts: High Wind Watch: 5 (CA) · Coastal Flood Advisory: 4 (CA) · Beach Hazards Statement: 3 (CA) · Heat Advisory: 3 (CA) · Fire Weather Watch: 2 (CA) · Wind Advisory: 2 (CA)

The Southwest

9 active alerts

What’s happening

What to watch for

  • NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center says: “This helps to force strong precipitation chances across much of the western and central CONUS with chances exceeding 60% for parts of the Great Basin, Four Corners, and into the Southern Plains.” Source: CPC 6-10 / 8-14 Day Outlook Discussion (opens in a new tab)

Active NWS alerts: Winter Weather Advisory: 3 (NV, UT) · Freeze Warning: 2 (NV, UT) · High Wind Watch: 2 (NM) · Freeze Watch: 1 (NM) · Wind Advisory: 1 (AZ)

The Gulf Coast

7 active alerts

What’s happening

What to watch for

No items for this region in this post.

Active NWS alerts: Flood Watch: 4 (TX) · Air Quality Alert: 1 (AL) · Coastal Flood Advisory: 1 (TX) · High Wind Watch: 1 (TX)

The Southeast

8 active alerts

What’s happening

What to watch for

Active NWS alerts: Flood Warning: 6 (FL, GA, SC) · Coastal Flood Statement: 1 (FL) · Flood Advisory: 1 (SC)

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Sources

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