El Niño update, November 8: what to know

What’s happening

• Active NWS alert: Beach Hazards Statement, in effect until 10:00 PM PST (NWS San Francisco CA), for parts of Southern Monterey Bay and Big Sur Coast. Source: NWS active alerts — CA (opens in a new tab)
• Active NWS alert: Coastal Flood Advisory, in effect until 12:00 PM PST (NWS Eureka CA), for parts of Northern Coastal Humboldt. Source: NWS active alerts — CA (opens in a new tab)
• Active NWS alert: Coastal Flood Advisory, in effect until 4:00 PM PST (NWS San Francisco CA), for parts of Southern Monterey Bay and Big Sur Coast. Source: NWS active alerts — CA (opens in a new tab)

What to watch for

• NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center says: “Moderate risk of heavy precipitation for parts of southwest Oregon, and northern and central California, Sun, Nov 15.” Source: CPC U.S. Hazards Outlook (opens in a new tab)
• NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center says: “Moderate risk of high elevation heavy snow across the Klamath and the Sierra Nevada Mountains, Sun, Nov 15.” Source: CPC U.S. Hazards Outlook (opens in a new tab)
• The Weather Prediction Center says: “A more organized storm system is likely to affect more of the West Coast going into Saturday and into Sunday, with heavier rainfall and high mountain snow reaching farther south into northern California.” Source: WPC Extended Forecast Discussion (opens in a new tab)

Active NWS alerts: Coastal Flood Advisory: 5 (CA) · Beach Hazards Statement: 3 (CA) · High Surf Advisory: 2 (CA)

What’s happening

• Active NWS alert: Beach Hazards Statement, in effect until 12:00 PM PST (NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard CA), for parts of Santa Barbara County Southwestern Coast and Santa Barbara County Southeastern Coast. Source: NWS active alerts — CA (opens in a new tab)
• Active NWS alert: Beach Hazards Statement, in effect until 10:00 PM PST (NWS San Diego CA), for parts of San Diego County Coastal Areas. Source: NWS active alerts — CA (opens in a new tab)
• Active NWS alert: Coastal Flood Advisory, in effect until 12:00 PM PST (NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard CA), for parts of Catalina and Santa Barbara Islands, Malibu Coast and Los Angeles County Beaches. Source: NWS active alerts — CA (opens in a new tab)

What to watch for

No items for this region in this post.

Active NWS alerts: Coastal Flood Advisory: 5 (CA) · Beach Hazards Statement: 2 (CA) · High Surf Advisory: 2 (CA)

What’s happening

• Active NWS alert: Flood Warning, in effect until 11:00 AM MST (NWS Phoenix AZ), for parts of Maricopa, AZ. Source: NWS active alerts — AZ (opens in a new tab)
• The U.S. Drought Monitor: “AZ drought coverage, week of 2026-11-03: 62.94% none, D0 37.06%, D1 11.92%, D2 1.75%, D3 0.00%, D4 0.00%.” Source: U.S. Drought Monitor — AZ (opens in a new tab)
• The U.S. Drought Monitor: “NM drought coverage, week of 2026-11-03: 38.09% none, D0 61.91%, D1 31.31%, D2 13.58%, D3 0.85%, D4 0.00%.” Source: U.S. Drought Monitor — NM (opens in a new tab)

What to watch for

• NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center says: “Moderate risk of high elevation heavy snow across the Klamath and the Sierra Nevada Mountains, Sun, Nov 15.” Source: CPC U.S. Hazards Outlook (opens in a new tab)
• NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center says: “Slight risk of heavy precipitation across the West Coast and into parts of the Southwest, Great Basin, and Southern Rockies, Sun-Wed, Nov 15-18.” Source: CPC U.S. Hazards Outlook (opens in a new tab)

Active NWS alerts: Flood Warning: 4 (AZ)

What’s happening

• Active NWS alert: Flash Flood Warning, in effect until 3:30 PM CST (NWS Corpus Christi TX), for parts of Kleberg, TX. Source: NWS active alerts — TX (opens in a new tab)
• Active NWS alert: Flood Warning, in effect until 3:45 PM CST (NWS Brownsville TX), for parts of Cameron, TX and Willacy, TX. Source: NWS active alerts — TX (opens in a new tab)
• Active NWS alert: Flood Warning, in effect until 6:00 PM CST (NWS Corpus Christi TX), for parts of Nueces, TX. Source: NWS active alerts — TX (opens in a new tab)

What to watch for

• NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center says: “Above normal precipitation is expected to overspread the western and central CONUS as far east as the Mississippi River, and continue eastward across southern Florida.” Source: CPC 6-10 / 8-14 Day Outlook Discussion (opens in a new tab)

Active NWS alerts: Flash Flood Warning: 3 (TX) · Frost Advisory: 3 (MS, AL) · Coastal Flood Advisory: 2 (TX) · Flood Warning: 2 (TX) · Rip Current Statement: 2 (TX) · Coastal Flood Statement: 1 (TX) · Flood Advisory: 1 (TX) · Flood Watch: 1 (TX)

What’s happening

• Active NWS alert: Flood Warning (NWS Melbourne FL), for parts of Seminole, FL. Source: NWS active alerts — FL (opens in a new tab)
• Active NWS alert: Flood Warning (NWS Tampa Bay Ruskin FL), for parts of DeSoto, FL. Source: NWS active alerts — FL (opens in a new tab)
• Active NWS alert: Rip Current Statement, in effect until 7:00 AM EST (NWS Jacksonville FL), for parts of Coastal Nassau, Coastal Duval and Coastal Flagler. Source: NWS active alerts — FL (opens in a new tab)

What to watch for

• NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center says: “Above normal precipitation is expected to overspread the western and central CONUS as far east as the Mississippi River, and continue eastward across southern Florida.” Source: CPC 6-10 / 8-14 Day Outlook Discussion (opens in a new tab)

Active NWS alerts: Flood Warning: 6 (FL) · Coastal Flood Statement: 2 (FL) · Flood Advisory: 2 (FL) · Frost Advisory: 2 (GA, NC) · Rip Current Statement: 2 (FL)